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**State the null hypothesis.** When you state the null hypothesis, you also have to state the alternate hypothesis. Sometimes it is easier to state the alternate hypothesis first, because that’s the researcher’s thoughts about the experiment. (opens in a new window).

Basically, you reject the null hypothesis when your test value falls into the . There are four main ways you’ll compute test values and either support or reject your null hypothesis. Which method you choose depends mainly on if you have a proportion or a .

The p-value is p = 0.236. This is not below the .05 standard, so we do not reject the null hypothesis. Thus it is possible that the true value of the population mean is 72. The 95% confidence interval suggests the mean could be anywhere between 67.78 and 73.06.

**Sample question:** A researcher claims that Democrats will win the next election. 4300 voters were polled; 2200 said they would vote Democrat. Decide if you should support or reject null hypothesis. Is there enough evidence at α=0.05 to support this claim?

*Compare your answer from step 5 with the α value given in the question*. Support or reject the null hypothesis? If step 5 is less than α, reject the null hypothesis, otherwise do not reject it. In this case, .582 (5.82%) is not less than our α, so we do not reject the null hypothesis.

**Sample question:** A researcher claims that more than 23% of community members go to church regularly. In a recent survey, 126 out of 420 people stated they went to church regularly. Is there enough evidence at α = 0.05 to support this claim? Use the P-Value method to support or reject null hypothesis.

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Sometimes, you’ll be given a proportion of the population or a percentage and asked to support or reject null hypothesis. In this case you can’t compute a test value by calculating a (you need actual numbers for that), so we use a slightly different technique.

Compare your answer from step 4 with the α value given in the question. Should you support or reject the null hypothesis?

If step 7 is less than or equal to α, reject the null hypothesis, otherwise do not reject it.

The null hypothesis can be thought of as a *nullifiable *hypothesis. That means you can nullify it, or reject it. What happens if you reject the null hypothesis? It gets replaced with the which is what you think might actually be true about a situation. For example, let’s say you think that a certain drug might be responsible for a spate of recent heart attacks. The drug company thinks the drug is safe. The null hypothesis is always the accepted hypothesis; in this example, the drug is on the market, people are using it, and it’s generally accepted to be safe. Therefore, the null hypothesis is that the drug is safe. The alternate hypothesis — the one you want to replace the null hypothesis, is that the drug *isn’t* safe. Rejecting the null hypothesis in this case means that you will have to prove that the drug is not safe.

When the data indicate that one cannot reject the null hypothesis, does it mean that one can accept the null hypothesis? For example, when the p-value computed from the data is 0.12, one fails to reject the null hypothesis at = 0.05. Can we say that the data support the null hypothesis?

In many statistical tests, you’ll want to either reject or support the . For elementary statistics students, the term can be a tricky term to grasp, partly because the name “null hypothesis” doesn’t make it clear about *what *the null hypothesis actually is!

Both results are shown in the figure, and they’re consistent in rejecting the null hypothesis of homoskedasticity. Therefore, the statistical evidence implies that heteroskedasticity is present.

When you perform hypothesis testing, you only set the size of Type I error and guard against it. Thus, we can only present the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis. One can sidestep the concern about Type II error if the conclusion never mentions that the null hypothesis is accepted. When the null hypothesis cannot be rejected, there are two possible cases: 1) one can accept the null hypothesis, 2) the sample size is not large enough to either accept or reject the null hypothesis. To make the distinction, one has to check . If at a likely value of the parameter is small, then one accepts the null hypothesis. If the is large, then one cannot accept the null hypothesis.

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